Saturday EFL acca tips: Shrews to beat U’s while both teams score in South Wales

Place a £5+ all-correct accumulator (min. 5 selections) and get up to a 50% BONUS on your winnings.

Rhys’ weekend EFL acca is currently priced at 8/1 with Planet Sport Bet at the time of article publication.

 

EFL Acca

Swansea vs Plymouth: BTTS

Shrewsbury to beat Cambridge

Crawley vs Morecambe: BTTS

Tranmere vs Crewe: BTTS

 

Swansea vs Plymouth

The odds for this selection are on the shorter side for a good reason, as both sides see both teams to score come in frequently.

Swansea leads the Championship in BTTS games, with both teams scoring in 72% of matches. Huddersfield and Plymouth follow with BTTS landing in 68% and 65% of their fixtures, respectively.

Swansea have only kept one clean sheet in their last fourteen league games and have only failed to score once in that same period. Plymouth’s last seven games have seen BTTS, with a total of thirty goals scored across those games.

The fixture between these sides earlier this season finished 3-1 to Swansea. Lots of goals look likely in this one.

 

Shrewsbury vs Cambridge

At first glance, backing Shrewsbury to beat Cambridge might seem silly, considering they have lost six of their last eight league games. But the recent reappointment of Paul Hurst as manager has suddenly made them appealing.

When he was last in charge of Shrewsbury back in 2018, he guided the Shrews to a remarkable third-place finish in League One. They put in a very impressive performance in his first game back in charge away at Northampton, dominating the match and winning 2-0.

Northampton had won six, drawn two and lost just once to Portsmouth in their nine home games leading up to the Shrewsbury defeat, showing it is a difficult place to visit.

Hurst will be back in the home dugout at the New Meadow for the first time in over five years this Saturday. We’ll see if the Northampton win was a one-off, but there were some positives to take.

Their home record this season is seven wins, one draw and six defeats, with all six of those defeats coming to sides in the top half.

Shrews have an impressive home record of five wins and a draw against lower-ranked division teams. They also secured a commendable away draw at Cambridge this season.

Cambridge are undefeated in three matches and have only lost two of their last eight games, but the majority of those were at home. They've only won one away game, drawing four and losing seven.

The win at Fleetwood was in their first away game of the season, meaning they have not won away from home in eleven league games.

After looking impressive in Hurst’s first game in charge, I think the odds available for Shrewsbury to win his first home game back in charge, against a Cambridge side who are the third worst away team in the league, are extremely generous.

 

Crawley vs Morecambe

It’s worth noting that 60% of League Two matches have featured both teams scoring at least one goal, which is high compared to the other EFL divisions.

Crawley have only failed to score three times at home all season and have kept just two clean sheets, conceding in each of their last eight home games and fifteen of their last sixteen league fixtures.

Their opponents, Morecambe, have only kept one clean sheet away from home all season. They have failed to score five times away from home all season, but only once since Ged Brannan’s appointment back in November.

 

Tranmere vs Crewe

Keeping in mind the frequency of both teams scoring in League Two, and the average being 3.02 goals before the game, it’s highly likely two of the biggest contributors get on the scoresheet.

Tranmere have only failed to score once at home this season and have seen both teams to score land in eight of their last nine home games.

Their opponents Crewe have kept two clean sheets away from home all season and failed to score just three times in their twenty-nine league games.

Alexandra are one of the most clinical teams in League Two, vastly outperforming their xG for the season.