Leeds United vs Brighton key stats, predicted score and suggested bets

Premier League, Saturday, March 11, Kick-off 3pm

Leeds United 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion to win & BTTS

Brighton & Hove Albion to score first

Leeds have seen under 2.5 goals in their last seven matches against Brighton in all competitions

Leeds have failed to score in five of their last seven PL matches

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in six of Leeds' last seven PL games

Brighton have only failed to score once in 18 games in all competitions

Brighton have won five of their 11 away games

Leeds have won four of their 12 home games

PL: Brighton 1-0 Leeds, August 2022

PL: Leeds 1-1 Brighton, May 2021

PL: Brighton 0-0 Leeds, November 2021

PL: Brighton 2-0 Leeds, May 2021

PL: Leeds 0-1 Brighton, January 2021

Patrick Bamford (knee) missed out against Chelsea and is a doubt. Rodrigo, Adam Forshaw and Stuart Dallas remain sidelined. Luis Sinisterra and Liam Cooper are both in line to make returns.

Tariq Lamptey picked up a knock against West Ham and so is a worry. Jakub Moder and Adam Lallana are sidelined and Levi Colwill still needs to get up to speed with his fitness. Yasin Ayari returned to training this week.

Brighton beat West Ham 4-0 at home last time out

Brighton have lost one of their last 10 in all competitions

Brighton have recorded back-to-back clean sheets

Leeds lost 1-0 at Chelsea last weekend

Leeds have won just once in their last seven in all competitions

Javi Gracia after the 1-0 defeat at Chelsea: "I'm frustrated and disappointed with the result. But after watching the attitude my players had, I can only say I'm proud of them. Of course we have to improve many things.

"Big problem is not creating chances and after that, of course, improving the effectiveness to finish better, and be more clinical. But if we analyse the game the opponent had two or three clear chances, some from set-pieces - they scored one and we were not able to score."

Roberto de Zerbi after the 4-0 win over West Ham: "The second half was fantastic, very good the first half, but the perfection is not like this. I think we can improve, but we are in the right way.

"I am enjoying working with these players, because they have the same passion as me to improve and work. I think we can achieve our target because we are strong and serious."

Leeds fans wanted rid of Jesse Marsch and were hoping for someone to arrive and wave a magic wand over a team that have struggled to score goals.

Andrea Radrizzani swapped an American for a Spaniard in Javi Gracia, but Leeds have managed just one goal in three games. That was in the 1-0 home win over Southampton, which was a crucial win, but not a performance to inspire too much confidence.

The Whites were probably better in defeat to Fulham, where once again their profligate nature cost them a place in the FA Cup.

Gracia has been working on finishing this week and when asked who was the best player in training Gracia said it was "a secret". Whether he will spring a surprise in attack at Elland Road remains to be seen, but Leeds need a cutting edge and he may go with two up front against Brighton.

Leeds' problems in essence are that they have found wanting in both boxes this season and that is not easy to correct.

Brighton will arrive in West Yorkshire in good form. They smashed West Ham last time out and have won five of their 11 away games and that is reflected in their price at Leeds.

They are even money to sink Leeds into deeper relegation trouble and a Brighton win looks the obvious selection. Teams have struggled to work out Robert De Zerbi's men this season. No doubt next season will be harder for De Zerbi, but at the moment his 4-2-3-1 formation is proving hard to stop.

Brighton generally dominate possession - they have averaged 60% possession away from home. They have averaged two goals away from home too and have generally been flat-track bullies on the road.

They did win at Arsenal in the EFL Cup and Man Utd on the opening day of the season, but they have rolled over the likes of Wolves, Southampton, Everton and West Ham since. And Leeds certainly fit into the bracket of those teams.

They do, however, concede goals on their travels and have not kept an away clean sheet since August. That will give the hosts hope, but with the likes of Kaoru Mitoma, Alexis Mac Allister, Pascal Gross, Solly March and Evan Ferguson in their XI, they will just have more goalscorers on the pitch - and combined with their possession, they should get the better of Gracia's men.