AC Milan vs Inter Milan verdict, predicted score, key stats and suggested bets

The winner of the Milan derby will face either Real Madrid or Manchester City in the Champions League final in June.

Champions League semi-final first leg, Wednesday May 10, Kick-off 8.00pm, live on BT Sport

Match result - draw

Both teams to score

Under 2.5 goals

Inter are winless in four European fixtures against AC Milan.

AC Milan are unbeaten in nine games in all competitions.

Inter have won five straight matches in all competitions.

Three of the last four meetings produced the most goals in the first-half.

Lautaro Martínez has scored four goals across Inter's last three games.

AC Milan will be without Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Tommaso Pobega for Wednesday's semi-final opener.

Rafael Leao is also a doubt as he continues to recover from his injury.

Inter, meanwhile, will be without Dalbert and Milan Skriniar. However, Danilo D'Ambrosio and Robin Gosens could feature.

Over the last 113 years, there have been some memorable Milan derbies. However, this Wednesday night, fans could be treated to one of the biggest clashes of all time as the two city rivals battle for a spot in the Champions League final.

This will be just the third ever Champions League tie between AC Milan and Inter and just the second in the competition's semi-finals.

While Inter lead the all-time head-to-head charts in the Derby della Madonnina, it's I Rossoneri who have the better record in European encounters.

AC Milan not only prevailed in the 2004/05 Champions League quarter-finals, but also beat their local adversaries in the 2002/03 semis.

Nevertheless, looking ahead to Wednesday's encounter, it's fair to say Inter are the in-form side.

Simone Inzaghi's men have won five straight games across all competitions, scoring 15 goals in the process and conceding just once.

Despite enduring stuttering form for the majority of the campaign, Inter picked up a 2-0 win over AS Roma last weekend to power into the Serie A's top four.

AC Milan, on the other hand, are unbeaten in nine straight outings. However, Stefano Pioli's men have won just four of those matches, with the other five ending in draws.

Considering the importance of Wednesday's fixture, it wouldn't be a surprise if both teams tackled this opening leg with the ambition of avoiding defeat rather than risking an early lead.

With that in mind, our recommendation is to back the draw in the outright market.