Premier League betting tips and odds: Who will win the Golden Boot this season?
- George Dempsey
- 24 September 2024
Erling Haaland won the race for the Premier League Golden Boot last season with 27 goals. Can anyone outscore Man City’s goal machine during the 2024/25 campaign?
A fit and firing Erling Haaland renders the Golden Boot debate redundant.
Bookmakers rightly slapped the scraggy price of 1/8 on Man City’s top scorer in each of the last two seasons to claim the crown again, and he's started the campaign like a rocket.
The likelihood of his success only increases prices elsewhere in the market and you can opt to back a player each-way, which typically covers four places.
Cole Palmer, Alexander Isak, Ollie Watkins, Phil Foden and Dominic Solanke shared the top four spots, whilst players like Mohamed Salah, Son Heung-Min and Bukayo Saka are capable of better.
The odds dictate we have to ignore Haaland and hope for the best, so here goes. We’ve picked out a handful of each-way contenders for the 2024/25 Golden Boot.
Suggested bets
Alexander Isak each-way
Darwin Nunez each-way
Ollie Watkins each-way
Mohamed Salah
The Egyptian scored 18 goals last season, which was slightly below his usual standards. He has the potential to challenge Haaland if he flourishes as he did in 2017/18 when he scored 32 goals in 36 matches.
On the other hand, he’s produced an average of 21 goals across the past five seasons. Liverpool have other goal threats so there’s no need to rely on Mo.
Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer finished runner-up last season as he rattled in 22 goals, nine of which came from the spot. It helps that he takes penalties, but we need to see more from open play if he’s to challenge for the crown.
Every goal holds equal weight in the race yet it’s hard to ignore the fact that nine of his goals came in an unlikely four-game spell against disjointed teams.
Ollie Watkins
England’s Euro 2024 hero finished eight goals off the pace last season, but it’s notable how many times he found himself in dangerous positions.
As well as banging in 19 goals, Ollie Watkins provided 13 assists for teammates and produced 32 big chances. If he can discover a more ruthless and selfish edge, then Villa’s main man can break the 20-goal mark this season.
Alexander Isak
There’s so much to admire about Isak’s game, but above all, he’s an old-fashioned striker who likes to get in the box.
Alexander Isak's knack for being in the right place at the right time produced 21 goals last season and at the age of 24, there’s plenty of room for improvement. The absence of European football will allow him to focus on the Premier League.
Darwin Nunez
Nunez has the profile of a player who can be the Premier League’s top goalscorer, even if he hasn’t shown the right traits. His powerful running and intelligent movement set him up, but his erratic nature and lack of composure let him down.
No player took more shots per 90 minutes than the Uruguayan last season and we think Arne Slot will bring the best out of him.
Dominic Solanke
Bournemouth’s former number nine was part of a three-way tie for fourth place in last year’s race with 19 goals as he flourished under Andoni Iraola.
The new Tottenham signing will be at the forefront of Ange Postecoglou's attack, and if things go well he could improve on last season’s total. Solanke stayed fit and played 97.5% of available minutes last campaign.
Other contenders
North London rivals Son Heung-Min and Bukayo Saka were just short of the top four last season and whilst there’s no doubt they can break through the 20-goal mark, they play in sides that have multiple goal threats.
Jean-Philippe Mateta may feel like a rogue suggestion, but Crystal Palace are typically a club that struggles for goals from all over the pitch and he became their focal point under Oliver Glasner. He wasn’t always in favour last season but he’s sure to see an increase in minutes.
Phil Foden became the hero Man City didn’t realise they had so often last sure. We already knew what quality he possessed, but he wasn’t previously associated with being the man you turn to when you most need a goal. He may go well again and 34/1 each-way is tempting.
Arsenal's Kai Havertz and Chelsea's Nicolas Jackson are priced as more likely than West Ham forward Jarrod Bowen which is arguably down to the clubs they play for.
There’s no obvious evidence that the latter pair can add seven or more goals to their tally, but we know Bowen will remain the main man.
