Weekend EFL acca tips: Coventry on a roll, goals at Grimsby, Wrexham bounce back
- Rhys Tovey
- 9 February 2024
Leagues One and Two are the focus of Rhys Tovey's EFL acca on Saturday before we turn our attention to Coventry vs Millwall in the Championship on Sunday lunchtime.
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Rhys’ weekend EFL acca is currently priced at 5/1 at the time of writing.
EFL Acca
Grimsby vs Stockport: Both teams to score
Blackpool vs Oxford United
Blackpool host Oxford on Saturday in a clash between two play-off hopefuls in League One. Both sides currently occupy the two positions just outside the play-off spots and I’m siding with the home side to come out on top.
Blackpool are the best home team in the league, picking up more points on their ground than any other side in the division.
They’re unbeaten in ten at home, winning seven, and have found the net in each of their last thirteen league games at home, scoring two or more goals in 11 of 16.
They have also scored the joint-highest number of goals at home and have the second-best xG difference.
Oxford are 7th in the away table but most of those victories came early in the season. In their last ten, they have won three, drawn one and lost six.
Those victories came against Forest Green (EFL Trophy), Carlisle and Charlton, a League Two side and a pair of teams in the bottom six of the League One table.
Oxford have also found it difficult to keep clean sheets, having conceded in each of their last eleven matches and their last eight away games. Overall, they’ve conceded in 17 of 20 away games.
Grimsby Town vs Stockport County
Top of the table Stockport County travel to Blundell Park on Saturday to take on a Grimsby side whose home matches have featured a boatload of goals recently.
Since David Artell’s appointment, there have been twenty-six goals scored across five matches with both teams scoring in each.
Even though the average number of goals drops once you take all of Grimsby’s home matches this season into consideration, it still makes for positive reading.
The home side has only failed to find the back of the net twice and have kept just three clean sheets, meaning both teams to score has landed in 14/18 matches (78%), with an average of 3.89 goals per game.
Stockport’s away fixtures are very similar. They’ve failed to find the net twice, have kept two clean sheets, and both teams have scored in 14 of 17 (82%) with an average of 3.35 goals.
Over 2.5 goals appeals but both teams to score looks like the safer bet.
AFC Wrexham vs Bradford City
Wrexham are looking to bounce back when hosting Bradford City. Despite losing their last three away games, they’re tough to beat at the Racecourse.
They’ve won eight consecutive games at home and have only dropped five points there this season, giving them the best home record in the division.
Their opponents this weekend, Bradford City, are not too bad away from home, sitting 11th in the league away standings.
They also managed a draw at this ground in the League Cup back in August, which was the same outcome when the sides met in Bradford.
Wrexham’s recent poor form should provide all the motivation they need to get back to winning ways on Saturday.
Coventry City vs Millwall (Sun, 12:00 GMT)
Coventry will be looking to break into the play-offs this weekend when they host Millwall on Sunday.
They have scored in each of their last 17 matches and before losing 2-1 at Norwich last time out in the league, had only lost once during that run.
They’ve lost just once at home this season, 0-0 to West Brom, and are unbeaten in their previous 10 at the Coventry Building Society Arena.
Millwall's form is unpredictable. After one win in thirteen matches, they won three in a row, but now they are winless in five, with four defeats.
Despite struggling, they tend to keep things close. Just one of those 13 defeats came by more than a single goal, although Cov did beat them 3-0 in November.
The hosts are pushing for the playoffs and have key personnel available for this one. Having already convincingly beaten Millwall, they may be too strong for them again.
