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  • EFL Saturday Acca Tips: Leicester To Score And Concede, Wycombe And Doncaster To Win, Plus More…

EFL Saturday acca tips: Leicester to score and concede, Wycombe and Doncaster to win, plus more…

Leicester City celebrate at the King Power Stadium

As the EFL season approaches its climax, there's a broad swathe of betting opportunities to be considered and possibly boosted by combining them into this week’s accumulator.

Football pundit Rhys Tovey, who runs his AGF service on Tipstrr, has been studying Saturday’s games to share his best bets in a tasty fivefold acca at combined odds of more than 19/1.

 

Weekend acca summary:

Leicester vs West Brom   Both Teams To Score (5/6)
Carlisle vs Wycombe  Wycombe to win (Evens)
Portsmouth vs Wigan  Both Teams To Score (8/11)
Doncaster vs Barrow Doncaster to win (21/20)
Newport vs Salford  Both Teams To Score (10/11)

(all odds correct at time of article publication)

Planet Sport Bet Acca Bonus: Place £5+ on a correct acca and get up to 50% bonus to your winnings (minimum 5-fold)

 

Leicester City vs West Bromwich Albion

The early kick-off on Saturday sees title contenders Leicester City host play-off hopefuls West Bromwich Albion.

After a terrific start to the season which saw Leicester win 25 of their opening 35 games, their form has nose-dived in recent weeks, and their five defeats in the last ten league outings is more than they lost in that entire 32-match run.

The Foxes have only kept one clean sheet during their current poor run of form, and unless they can significantly turn their performances around, that record looks likely to be extended further this weekend as West Brom have scored in each of their last seven away games.

The Baggies lost their last match 1-0 to Sunderland, but they were reduced to ten men in the first half when the score was still 0-0. Before that, West Brom were unbeaten in nine league games and had scored in ten games in a row. 

They have, however, only managed to keep one clean sheet in ten away games, which came against a Plymouth side who went on to blank in five home games in a row. A clean sheet for the away side looks unlikely yet again when you consider Leicester have scored in all but two of their home games this season.

With both sides in poor defensive form, but both looking good going forward, both teams to score looks the obvious bet, a bet which also came in when these sides met earlier in the season when Leicester won 2-1 at the Hawthorns.

 

 

Carlisle Utd vs Wycombe Wanderers

Carlisle United will host what will be their final home match in League One, at least for the time being, after finishing rock bottom of the table. 

It has been a very tough year for the Cumbrians, who have found it difficult to adapt to League One after winning promotion last season via the play-offs. Despite two phenomenal away wins at top four sides Bolton Wanderers and Peterborough United, Carlisle’s other five victories this season have all come against sides in the bottom seven.

Carlisle have lost eight of their last nine home matches, conceding three or more goals in six of those defeats. Their defensive frailties have been there all season, with only one home clean sheet this season, all the way back in early September.

The visitors to Brunton Park on Saturday, Wycombe Wanderers, also do not have anything to play for, other than a top-half finish. That has not stopped them from picking up points, though, having lost just one of their last eight games, which was against newly-crowned champions Portsmouth.

They have also been competitive away from home, particularly in recent weeks, having picked up ten points from their last four away trips. That strong away record is extended to games against the division’s weaker sides. In Wycombe’s away matches against sides in the bottom eight, The Chairboys have picked up 16 points from a possible 18.

Wycombe have found it difficult to keep clean sheets on their travels, having only managed to keep the home side out on four occasions, but they do not usually concede multiple goals, having only conceded more than one goal once in their last 13 away from home. 

This, coupled with their strong record against the sides near the bottom of the table, plus the fact they have scored more than one goal in three of their last four away games, makes me confident that they can win this one even if they do concede.

 

 

Portsmouth vs Wigan Athletic

After a thrilling 3-2 victory over Barnsley on Tuesday, thanks to two goals in the final seven minutes, Portsmouth were crowned League One champions and will lift the trophy after their match against Wigan Athletic.

Pompey’s home record has been a major factor in their title triumph. They have the best home record in the division and have only failed to score three times at Fratton Park all season.

Their attack has had to be on form at home, because they have struggled defensively with no clean sheets in any of their last eleven matches at Fratton Park, and only five there all season.

With the title wrapped up, there is a danger that the home players are already in party mode, something the visitors, Wigan Athletic, will surely be looking to capitalise on.

Wigan themselves are good going forward, having only failed to score three times away from home and scoring in 17 of their last 19 matches. They have, however, struggled for clean sheets on the road, keeping just three all season and only one in the last 14.

With both sides far better going forward than defending and Portsmouth potentially having one eye on the post-match celebrations, goals in this one looks likely.

The reverse fixture finished 2-1, which also instills some confidence in this pick.

 

Doncaster Rovers vs Barrow

This one is a huge match-up in terms of the League Two play-off race. Doncaster Rovers currently sit just two points off the top seven with a game in hand, and come into this fixture in exceptional form having won eight games in a row. They have also won seven matches in a row at home. 

That strong home record also extends to home games against the sides with whom they are competing.

Doncaster have won every home game they have played this season against sides in 3rd-11th, only conceding two goals across those seven wins.

Saturday’s opponents Barrow are the final team Doncaster must play at home in those positions.

Barrow currently sit sixth in the table and, like Doncaster, also have a game in hand. They are currently three points clear of eighth and four points ahead of Doncaster.

Unlike Doncaster, Barrow’s form in recent weeks has been poor. They were on a three-game losing streak before picking up what could be a vital midweek draw away at Crawley, who are just one place below Barrow in the table. Barrow’s away form has also been a problem lately, with no win in nine.

Barrow did manage to beat Doncaster when the sides met earlier this season, but that was back in September after Doncaster had a slow start to the season.

Both sides also prefer playing at home and have picked up most of their points in front of their own fans, with Barrow and Doncaster picking up 59 percent and 64 percent of their points at home, respectively.

With both sides being stronger at home and Doncaster having a great record against sides of a similar quality to Barrow, plus being on an eight-game winning streak, it is hard not to back the home win in this fixture.

 

 

Newport County vs Salford City

Newport County host Salford City on Saturday in a match of little importance. Both these sides are currently on runs of successive defeats, with Newport having lost their last six games and Salford their last four.

They are both in the bottom half of the table but are both mathematically guaranteed to be playing in League Two again next season.

With their opponents in poor form, both these sides will surely be looking at this fixture as the perfect opportunity to turn their own poor run of results around.

The home side, Newport County, have for the most part played quite well on their own ground this season, having scored in all but three of their 22 home games, with all three sides who kept them out currently occupying a play-off spot or better.

As is a common theme with my BTTS picks, they are another side who have a good record going forward and a poor record at the back.

They have only kept four home clean sheets this campaign, with all four coming against sides currently in the top ten in the league, meaning BTTS has landed in all twelve league games against sides outside of those positions.

Their opponents, Salford City, come into this fixture with similar chaotic numbers.

Manager Karl Robinson has overseen Salford for 19 matches and BTTS has landed in 16 of those games. They have failed to score just twice since he took over but only kept one clean sheet, with that shutout coming in his second game in charge.

The reverse fixture only took half an hour for BTTS to land, with Salford going on to win the game 2-1.

 

Weekend acca summary:

Back all five selections as singles and/or bundle them together into fivefold acca at combined odds of more than 19/1 on Planet Sport Bet (prices subject to change)

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