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Soccer tips: Brighton vs Brentford – Bees eye revenge after historic first Premier League defeat

Ethan Pinnock of Brentford giver his jersey to a fan after the Premier League match between Brentford and Everton at the Brentford Community Stadium, Brentford on Sunday 28th November 2021.

After kicking off the season in style, both Brighton and Brentford have struggled to keep up with their early season form. The two teams will close out Boxing Day with a clash at the Amex.

What has happened to Brighton? Just a few months ago, the Seagulls almost went top of the Premier League table following a start to the season which included four wins from their opening five games.

Since then, things have taken a turn for the worse with Graham Potter's men now in the midst of a 12-match winless run. Brentford will be looking to extend that stat as Thomas Frank's men eye back-to-back league victories.

When, where and how to watch

When: Sunday, December 26, 20.00 GMT

Where: Amex Stadium

How to watch: Sky Sports

Follow this game live via our score centre

Best bets for Brighton vs Brentford

Draw at 5/2

Under 2.5 goals at 4/6

Ivan Toney to score first at 9/2

Brentford's first ever season in the Premier League kicked off with an impressive three-match unbeaten run.

Thomas Frank's side were about to make that four when they appeared to be heading for a draw against Brighton back in September. The Seagulls though had other ideas as Leandro Trossard bagged a 90th-minute winner to hand the Bees their first-ever defeat in the competition.

Considering the form both these teams are in, we're expecting another similarly low scoring contest.

Brighton have really struggled in the goals department, having only found the back of the net three times in their last six games.

Brentford have been more effective in front of goal but that hasn't always translated into points.

With both teams missing players as a result of COVID-19 infections and injuries, the managers will be forced to tinker with their teams. As a result, we might not get the same type of intensity that we have come to expect from these two sides.

Bearing everything in mind, the best way to go in the outright market is to back a draw. This is a result which has landed in two of their last five head-to-heads. What's more, it's currently well priced at around the 5/2 mark.

Last 10 head-to-heads

Brighton wins: 5
Draws: 2
Brentford wins: 3
Brighton goals: 13
Brentford goals: 9
Both teams to score: 2
Under 2.5 goals: 7

Back a low-scoring clash

If you came to see a goal-fest, then you came to the wrong place. This is a fixture which tends to be closely contested, and a similar type of battle is expected on this occasion.

The last 10 games between these clubs have produced 22 goals - an average of 2.2 efforts per match. However, it must be noted that this is an average that is boosted by a freak 3-3 draw from a Championship clash in 2017.

If you take that game out of the calculations, the average falls to 1.7. In truth, whichever average you decide to use, they both fall under the 2.5 marker.

Interestingly, all of Brighton's last five outings have come under the 2.5 figure. With regards to Brentford, three of their last five games have done the same.

With that in mind, the under 2.5 goals bet is without doubt the one to back.

Goalscorer bets for Brighton vs Brentford 

The only man who consistently bags goals for the Seagulls is Neal Maupay. The 25-year-old scored on his last two outings and has got six Premier League goals to his name this season.
However, with the Frenchman a doubt ahead of Sunday, it may be best to look elsewhere.
One man who makes interesting reading is Leandro Trossard. The 27-year-old scored the only goal of the game when these two teams last met.
At 2/1, the Belgium winger certainly offers an enticing price in the anytime goalscorer market.
If you're looking for a top goalscoring bet, Ivan Toney is the man you need to watch.
The Brentford forward is currently well priced at 7/4 to get on the scoresheet. However, our preference is to back the 25-year-old to score first at an enhanced offer of 9/2.
Toney's last four efforts have all been Brentford's openers. What's more, all of them arrived in the opening half-an-hour.

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