Group F: Germany and Portugal need results in what could be an explosive finale

Lee Bassin
23 June 2021

Cristiano Ronaldo Toni Kroos Portugal Germany Euro 2020

France through but top spot up for grabs, while group minnows Hungary still have qualification hopes of their own.

Germany vs Hungary

When: Wednesday June 23, 20:00 BST

Where: Munich

How to watch: BBC

Group F qualification scenarios

France will qualify as group winners with victory over Portugal, but Cristiano and co can also top the group if they beat the French and Germany fail to beat Hungary.

As for Joachim Low's men, if they defeat Hungary and Portugal take points off France it will be they who top the table.

And remarkably for a side in such illustrious company, Hungary still have qualification in their own hands - a win over Germany would see them reach the last 16.

Best bets

Joshua Kimmich to record an assist

Leon Goretzka to score

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International head-to-head

Germany wins: 3

Draws: 0

Hungary wins: 1

Germany goals: 10

Hungary goals: 4

Germany to push on as Hungary run out of steam

A packed Puskas Arena undoubtedly played a massive part in Hungary's shock draw against France, but with this game being on Germany's home turf, Hungary may struggle without their 12th man.

There's also the small matter of facing a German side that put four past Portugal last time out, spearheaded by the performances of their marauding wing-backs Robin Gosens and Joshua Kimmich.

With Gosens carrying a slight knock it's Kimmich we're looking at, to add to the two assists he bagged against Portugal, and at around 2/1 he is great value against a Hungary side who we expect to peter out after tough two matches.

Goalscorer bet

Germany's Leon Goretzka

With Thomas Muller out through injury, the value in the goalscorer market looks to lie with his Bayern team-mate Leon Goretzka, who is set to replace him.

Goretzka has scored 10 times this season, including two for Germany, and looked lively in a 20-minute cameo on Sunday, clipping the bar with a long-range strike.

He's around 9/4 to find the net against Portugal and at those odds it's well worth looking past the usual suspects in the German line-up.

Portugal vs France

When: Wednesday June 23, 20:00 BST

Where: Budapest

How to watch: ITV

Best bets

Over 2.5 goals

Kylian Mbappe to score at any time

International head-to-head

Portugal wins: 6

Draws: 2

France wins: 19

Portugal goals: 29

France goals: 51

Going for goals is best in Budapest

France and Portugal meet in a rematch of the Euro 2016 final, with the Portuguese needing to improve their defending after conceding four goals last time out and France looking to put a shock draw with Hungary swiftly behind them.

France have already qualified, but top spot is still up for grabs, while Portugal only need a draw to progress. But with an embarrassment of attacking riches on both sides, does anyone really expect a cagey affair?

Over 2.5 goals is around 5/4, and with seven strikes between them so far, we're happy to add that to the staking plan.

Goalscorer bet

Portugal were torn apart down the flanks against Germany, and Kylian Mbappe, in particular, will be itching to get at the Portuguese defence in Budapest.

Mbappe has averaged a respectable 3.5 shots and one on target per game in Euro 2020, and he looks far and away the most likely French player to find the net against Portugal.

The PSG ace is a big-game player and the matches don't come much bigger than this, so we're happy to roll the dice on him finding the net, at 11/5 with Sky Bet.