Leeds United vs Luton Town free betting tips, odds and predictions

Leeds will fancy their chances of beating a Luton Town side who have claimed one win on their travels and struggle in front of goal.

We've picked out three bets for Wednesday's clash which, if you fancy putting them together in a bet builder, will pay out at 6/1.

Leeds vs Luton betting tips

Leeds United to win to nil - 5/4

Over 10.5 corners - 4/5

Luton to receive over 2.5 cards - 4/5

 

Leeds United vs Luton Town betting preview

Leeds left it late-ish to come from 2-1 down to lead Swansea City 3-2 at the weekend. They left it even later to win the game a second time, as Wilfried Gnonto's 92nd minute made up for Florian Bianchini's poorly defended equaliser two minutes earlier.

The Elland Road faithful will be hoping for a less heart-attack-inducing outcome on Wednesday, and that's exactly what the stats suggest they'll get.

Luton are struggling to lay a glove on teams on their travels. Their sole away win, a 1-0 smash-and-grab against Millwall, reads as an unlucky loss for the Lions who limited Town.

Since then, Rob Edwards' side imploded against Middlesbrough, losing 5-1, and were also beaten 3-2 by Coventry, 2-0 by Sheffield United, and even 3-1 by Plymouth Argyle.

On the other hand, Leeds are on a roll at home. They've won five on the spin, conceding once in the process. If expected goals is to be believed, then there's a good chance we see another 2-0 win for the Whites.

There's little value in backing the outright win, so we'll take a chance on Farke's side winning to nil.

Another market that stands out to us is the corners market. Both sides are producing more than 11 per game in their respective role as home and away sides.

The line is currently set at 10, which feels a tad low. The vast majority (8.22) of corners at Elland Road are won by Leeds, but Luton will surely be looking for the opportunity to play for set pieces at times. They concede just over seven per game themselves so if both sides are on form, this line can be exploited.

Finally, we'll back the visitors to receive more cards. It makes sense if they'll largely be without the ball and under pressure. On average, they've been shown 2.87 cards per away game, compared to Leeds' 1.5 at home.

 

 

Leeds outrights betting tips

Leeds United spent decades in the wilderness before returning to the Premier League in 2020. Still, their latest stay ended and now they’re battling for promotion from the Championship again.

The Whites never did enough to trouble Southampton at Wembley in May, but head coach Daniel Farke has recruited well despite departures and has built a team capable of winning the league.

 

Leeds season bets

Leeds United to win the Championship

Mateo Joseph top goalscorer

 

Leeds United odds to win the Championship

The Whites are emphatic favourites to win the league at 3/1 at the time of writing. That price started to drift a little after Crysencio Summerville’s departure to West Ham, but Burnley are much bigger at 17/2.

Despite that, anything other than winning automatic promotion will be seen as a failure given the quality still in the squad and the shrewd additions made.

 

Can Leeds United win the FA Cup or Carabao Cup?

In short, no. It’s extremely unlikely. Coventry came close to the FA Cup final last year, Swansea beat Bradford in 2013, and just one year earlier, Cardiff became the first side from outside the top division to reach the cup final in over a decade.

Leeds are currently priced at 66/1 to win the FA Cup and 66/1 to win the Carabao Cup.

 

Will Leeds United win the Championship?

The club expect to, the fans expect to, and the players expect to. The major obstacles last season were a slow start to the season due to the turmoil of relegation, and record-breaking performances from Leicester City and Ipswich Town.

Neither of those things should be a factor this season and if United can threaten the 90-point mark again, that will almost certainly be enough to win promotion.

Losing Archie Gray and Crysencio Summerville robs them of two super talents at this level of football.

Summerville, who scored 20 goals and assisted nine, will be harder to replace. Whenever the Whites were struggling to find a way through, he was the man who would produce that piece of game-changing quality.

That said, many will argue that Georginio Rutter was and still is Leeds’ biggest threat, and he should continue to develop this season.

Farke’s shift to a higher-pressing, more attacking approach should help replace the contribution of Summerville, particularly if Jayden Bogle at right-back, Junior Firpo at left-back and the midfield, all areas where Leeds failed to produce goals, contribute in this setup.

The return of Max Wober and Brendan Aaronson, plus the development of Mateo Joseph, offer Leeds three new high-quality contributors.

Despite the players that have left, it’s hard to look beyond them winning the league.

 

Leeds United’s top goalscorer

Five of the top 10 prices in the Championship Golden Boot market at Leeds United players. At least they were until Summerville departed.

Still, that leaves Patrick Bamford, initially a questionable favourite who has dropped from 7/1 to 16/1.

Then there’s Mateo Joseph, who is a physical, intelligent runner ready for a breakout season and the new favourite.

Joel Piroe knocked in 14 goals and has threatened to win it before while at Swansea, whilst Georginio Rutter only scored seven but assisted 15, but he’d surely bag 15+ goals if he tidied up his finishing.

One player that no one is talking about, however, is Willy Gnonto. He wasn’t a guaranteed starter last season and that may still be the case.

But the Italian international played the equivalent of 18 matches in minutes and registered eight goals.

With less than one week to go until the season starts, Leeds have yet to replace Summerville, which tells us Gnonto could start and have a chance to nail down the position.