Newmarket best bet: Conditions tailor-made for strong run from Rainbow Fire
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Newmarket joins Newbury as part of ITV’s Saturday racing coverage, and Tipstrr pundit Steve Jones has looked to racing’s headquarters to find his Daily Bargain best bet of the day.
14:40 Newmarket: trustatrader.com Handicap (7 furlongs)
The clear early favourite, Divine Libra, is a specialist on the very sharp, left-handed tracks at Chester and Catterick where all three of his career wins have been achieved.
He has been here three times (on both tracks), two of which were for Class 4 handicaps, and he was beaten each time off marks that were 8-9lbs lower than the mark he has in this Class 2 affair.
A much better-value option is Rainbow Fire, who comes here in good form, is handicapped to strike, and has conditions to suit.
His latest outing, over seven furlongs at Haydock three weeks ago, was his first run on turf since last August and he produced a solid display to finish a never-nearer third of nine (beaten 1¼ lengths ) in Class 2 company.
He goes well at that galloping left-handed track, but the way he finished off his race suggested that reverting to a straight, galloping track would see him winning again off this sort of mark.
Suggested best bet: Rainbow Fire in the 14:40 at Newmarket
A real seven-furlong specialist, all three of his wins have come on good ground over this distance, with two of them coming on straight, galloping tracks (Newbury and here). His last two wins came under Neil Callan, who gets on best with him and who rode him at Haydock last time.
The six-year-old comes here with an unchanged mark following his recent Haydock run and he looks ready to strike because he was 4lbs higher at this time last year and he is now down on his last winning mark.
A winner of each of his last three seven-furlong good-ground handicaps, he handles a bit of cut almost as well, as he demonstrated back at Haydock last time, when the soft ground would have been slower than he prefers.
He looked as though he could have repeated last year’s win in that race had the ground been a bit better, so he comes here in very good shape and his yard landed this prize not that long ago.
- Tips and analysis provided by Steve Jones who runs CD Systems Daily Bargain on Tipstrr
Of the others, Gorak was rated 105 last summer, so he has to be of interest off just 95 following his encouraging seasonal debut run over this very trip last month when he finished fourth of 15 having attempted to make all the running.
It was his first outing for almost seven months and he only dropped out of the places in the last half-furlong, so he could be a big player here with that run behind him.
Planet Sport Bet Daily Special: Bet £20+ cash on any runner in the race and if Gorak finishes in the first 4 places, get a £5 Free Bet
His two handicap wins have come over seven furlongs on galloping tracks and he hit winning form in this month last year, a campaign that saw his mark rise from 74 to 105.
Significantly, however, his last win came under Neil Callan, who rides Rainbow Fire today and should therefore know exactly what he has to beat.
Next best bet: Gorak in the 14:40 at Newmarket
READ MORE: Saturday ITV racing tips: Best bets for Newbury and Newmarket on May 18