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Thursday horse racing tips: Each-way double from Newcastle and Chelmsford

Newcastle Racecourse

A Tipstrr horse racing expert has cast his eye for each-way value over Thursday's racecard, and has picked out a couple of apparent outsiders that might just out-run their tasty prices.

12:40 (Newcastle) Masham Moor

Masham Moor is an in form six-year-old gelding who has won at this course and distance, but he's been off for nearly a year and based on previous runs after a long break, it perhaps doesn't bode particularly well at first glance.

However, the horse is well handicapped now and has improved significantly over the past two years, so it's possible to look past the negatives at more recent positives.

One plus is Paula Muir coming back on board with a three-pound claim, as it was she who took this horse three lengths clear here at Newcastle a year ago at 11/1. 

The pair followed that up by winning again at Southwell despite a five-pound hike, before then placing third place after a further four-pound rise.

Here at Newcastle, the horse runs on the same mark, but with Muir taking off that three pounds, it could make all the difference needed to come close.

It's also the jockey's only ride of the day and the only runner for Chris Fairhurst, who will be looking to focus on this horse after he was a well beaten 5/2 favourite last time out (this trainer doesn't have that many).

So bouncing back after that disappointment looks to be the clear objective here, and would make sense in a situation like this. It will be interesting to see how the market reacts, and just now he looks massively overpriced at more than 20/1.

19:30 (Chelmsford) Cavalluccio

Cavallaccio looks exposed here at Chelmsford, but this four-year-old gelding also looks well handicapped after each of last three outings ended with him well adrift. 

However, it could be argued that he had issues on each occasion, either being held up or getting away slowly, which would not have done much for his racing confidence early on in each race.
Interestingly, he got a better run here at Chelmsford in a Class 5 back in September, finishing third of nine off a rating of 67, while here he drops down to a Class 6 and is marked up at 60.

He also did well in a class 4 event not long ago, coming second off a mark of 69, so he definitely has some potential after just nine runs to date. 

Essentially, it looks to be only a matter of time before he gets a win under his belt - preferably at 10/1 or higher

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