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Plumpton Expert Eye: Course stats and three horses to back for profit

Kevin Jones clear the last fence on their way to winning the Buy The Plumpton History Book Now Handicap Chase

Plumpton's Monday card offers up the chance to give the Cheltenham betting bank a timely boost with three horses flagged up as potential bets.

Some useful course stats might also help you turn a profit on the eve of the Festival, while Planet Sport's Live Centre is well worth a visit as it's here you'll find the highly informative Plumpton race card.

Selections:

Super Duper Sam (13.00 Plumpton)

Blade Runner (14.45 Plumpton)

Sainte Doctor (15.20)

Course characteristics

Left-handed, undulating, sharp. Circuit 1m1f. Tends to favour handy sorts thanks to its sharp turns, although it can pay to race wide when the ground is testing as that's where better going is found.

Top trainers with runners

Gary Moore, who is based locally in West Sussex, leads the way numerically with 49 winners over the past five seasons from 332 runners (15%), albeit you would have made a big loss following all his runners blind (-£109.40 to £1 level-stakes).

The in-form handler runs four this afternoon: Hecouldbetheone (13.00), Gelon (14.10), Ruby Yeats (15.20) and Tara Iti (15.55).
Hampshire-based Chris Gordon is next best with 36 winners from 189 runners (19%) over the same period and he has five chances to boost that tally: Unanswered Prayers (13.00), Blame The Game (14.10), Ramore Will and Blade Runner in the handicap chase (14.45), and Sami Bear (15.55).

Top jockeys with rides

Tom Cannon's 33 winners have come from 178 rides (19%) for a small level-stakes profit, and he has four chances for Chris Gordon this afternoon, preferring the stable's Blade Runner (one of our picks) over Ramore Will.

13.00 Plumpton - Super Duper Sam

Hecouldbetheone and Unanswered Prayers have already won twice over hurdles but both carry double penalties as a result in this 2m4f novices' hurdle, and the concession of 12lb to Super Duper Sam might prove beyond them.
Neil Mulholland's six-year-old sprang a 28/1 surprise when winning a Newbury bumper on his Rules debut in November and has since run twice over hurdles, finishing runner-up on both occasions.

The form of his latest second behind a Nicky Henderson-trained odds-on favourite (nicely clear of the third) is good enough to win an ordinary novice like this one, and as a long-term chasing prospect he should appreciate stepping up in trip this afternoon.

Sean Bowen comes in for the ride and he has a good record at the track, with seven of his 31 rides here over the past five seasons finding the winners' enclosure, while his record for the stable is a very respectable 5-26 (19%).

14.45 Plumpton - Blade Runner

The 3m1f handicap chase has attracted the biggest field of the day, with ten set to go to post, and it looks a good opportunity for Chris Gordon's Blade Runner to open his account over fences at the first time of asking.

The six-year-old changed hands for £75,000 last November after winning his second Irish point and showed encouraging ability when fourth on his hurdles debut at this track in January, before filling the same spot at Fontwell on his most recent outing.

That modest level of form has earned him an opening mark of 95, which could prove lenient, and he should prove a different proposition now switched to the bigger obstacles, with his shrewd connections fitting cheek-pieces for the first time.

It's hard to enthuse about any of nine rivals this afternoon with most of them having more letters in their form figures than numbers, although Abbey Street did manage to win a weak five-runner affair at this course two starts back.

15.20 Plumpton - Sainte Doctor

Course winner On My Command heads the weights for this 2m4f mares' handicap hurdle and she'll appreciate this easier test having finished down the field in the competitive Lanzarote Hurdle on her most recent outing.
But it was a weak handicap that she won here in December, when there were just four finishers, and she might struggle to give 10lb to in-form mare Saint Doctor, who is taken to bring up a double for the Mulholland stable under Richie McLernon.

An expensive purchase at €105,000 for her owner JP McManus after winning her only start in France, she has managed just a solitary victory for her current stable, that coming in another mares' handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot last May.

But she was entitled to need her first run back after a long break at Warwick in January, when finishing second despite sustaining a wound to her right-fore, and her most recent narrow second at Fakenham can be marked up as she was conceding stacks of weight to the winner.

On that evidence, it won't be long before she's adding to her tally and her mark of 110 is certainly one she can win off.

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