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Brighton top racing tip: Little Boy Blue ready to blow his horn on favourite track

Brighton racecourse

The well-known saying about ‘horses for courses’ takes on particular significance for today’s selection from Steve Jones, who runs his CD Systems Daily Bargain service on Tipstrr.

16:10 Brighton: BreBet Supports Rising Stars Handicap (7 furlongs)

Brighton's roller-coaster track is renowned for being the most undulating Flat course in the country. It is very much one for the specialists and heavily favours handy, well-balanced types.

Little Boy Blue is one such course specialist who has compiled career figures of 131311 from his six visits to this venue, the last three of which were handicaps over this distance.
The most recent of those was in this very race last year in similar conditions, when Little Boy Blue, under today's rider, William Carson, won easily by 1.5 lengths off today's mark of 80.
Not only has Little Boy Blue not been back here since that win but he hasn't had any good-firm ground since that day either.
Prior to winning this race last season, his three previous course wins had come off marks of 81 and 82 (twice), and three of his four course wins were achieved on good-firm ground.

He is handicapped to win this race for a second successive year and his early prices looked to have taken too much notice of his more recent runs elsewhere and underestimated him back at this specialist track.

Suggested bet: Little Boy Blue in the 16:10 at Brighton

Of the others, Batchelor Boy was the outsider of the field in the early market but his course form certainly doesn't support prices like that. Three times a winner here, he has finished in the first three home on eight of his thirteen visits, including in three of his last four.

He won a handicap over this course and distance on good-firm ground early last season, when racing off a mark of 70, so he has to be taken seriously under the same set of conditions off his current mark of 69.
His seasonal debut run early this month was a better effort than his fifth place appears because he was badly hampered coming out of the stalls, but he rallied to finish just short of fourth place, and he will come on plenty for that first run in 202 days with this step back up to seven furlongs looking in order too.
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