Ascot free racing tips: Testing conditions tailor made for bottom-weight filly

15:00 Ascot: John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (6 furlongs)

Catching the eye at tasty odds is one of the three-year-olds, Adaay In Devon, who, in contrast to the two market leaders, has already won two Listed prizes and narrowly missed out on a Group 3.

Her Listed wins were both achieved over an uphill five furlongs, but she is also a dual winner over a testing six furlongs, and six of her seven career wins have been achieved with cut in the ground.

She is a real specialist on testing tracks with cut in the ground, and boasts a good record on this track, where the first of her two visits was for a Group 3 over this course and distance back in May.

She finished a highly creditable runner-up of 10 behind Jasour, who is now rated 109, which is higher than today’s field.

Best Bet : Adaay In Devon each-way in the 15:00 at Ascot

That run looks a very decent piece of course-distance form, especially as she pulled 1½ lengths clear of the third-placed finisher, Purosangue, who is one of the early favourites for today’s event.

In fact, today’s slower ground will favour Adaay In Devon, whose effort that day can be marked-up because she was keen in the early stages and then short of room when winding up her challenge approaching the final furlong, which gave the winner first run.

Her only other visit to this venue saw Adaay In Devon contest a valuable Class 2 handicap over the minimum trip in August, which was probably a bit sharp for her, but nonetheless, she acquitted herself very well to finish fourth of 10 off the top mark of 104 in a three-way photo for the places.

Having met a host of Group 1-class sprinters this season, Adaay In Devon is clearly well up to winning a Group 3 and this combination of conditions looks ideal for her.

Of the others, Vadream won this race back in 2021 and ran within 1¾ lengths of the winner last year after a troubled passage.

The six-year-old produced her best run of the current campaign just a month ago when she ran fourth of 16 in the Group 1 Betfair Sprint Cup at Haydock.

Dropping back to five furlongs in Group 1 company at the Curragh last time clearly didn’t suit her, but she had looked like peaking again at Haydock, so a big run looks on the cards back in this race once more.

Next Best Bet: Vadream each-way in the 15:00 at Ascot

• Preview and tips provided Steve Jones, who runs CD Systems Daily Bargain on Tipstrr

 

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