Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles tips: Winning game pick and best prop bets
Week one of the new NFL has flown by and we kicked off the second week of games with the Minnesota Vikings travelling to face the Philadelphia Eagles.
Week one’s prime-time games saw us hit the post a little as the Chiefs lost to the Lions, but we dominated the Jets and Bills game.
Overall, we’ve picked up eight winners from six picks and eight prop bets and we’ve made a tidy sum on the early televised games.
Vikings @ Eagles game pick
The Eagles open a -7 favourite with the total set at 48.5. We’ve seen the total go under in both of those featured matches, and the favourite come unstuck in both.
We’re going to take a stab at the Eagles on the spread in week two and there are a few reasons for that. Firstly, they weren’t impressive defensively in week one.
They’ll want to tighten up in their first home game and they did exactly that when beating the Vikings 24-7 in week two last season.
The visitors lost a close one, 20-17, to the Patriots in week one. A quick turnaround for a Thursday game early in the season can often lead to sloppy play, which they can’t afford.
Vikings @ Eagles prop bets
So far we’ve cashed in on Jared Goff, Josh Allen and poor Aaron Rodgers throwing under the posted total.
Kirk Cousins had a typical good game, throwing for 344 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw a costly interception.
Last season, the Eagles were mean. They allowed fewer than 200 passing yards per game and they were at their best at home.
Also, it’s worth noting that Cousins has only posted back-to-back 300+ yard games once in the past two seasons, so we expect a drop-off here.
Prop: Kirk Cousins under 258.5 passing yards - 10/11
The Tennessee Titans are the only team to have allowed more passing yards than the Vikings last season, who were just shredded in the air.
Jalen Hurts was relatively quiet against the Patriots. He went 22 for 33, throwing for 170 yards and one touchdown as the Eagles raced into a 16-0 lead.
They sleepwalked their way to a close victory after that and we expect better from him in week two. He’ll get plenty of time and opportunity against Minnesota.
Prop: Jalen Hurts over 249.5 passing yards - 10/11
If Hurts can dominate the game on Thursday, then it makes sense that AJ Brown will pick up a ton of receiving yards. He averaged 88 per game last season.
This week’s total is set at just 72.5 yards. It’s a total he bettered in nine of 17 matches and one he almost always beat at home.
Last season’s average was marred by a single bad game in which he only had one reception for seven yards. Remove that and look at the remaining three games, he averaged 93ypg.
Even with that one poor game in mind, Brown averaged 83 receiving yards per game at Lincoln Financial Field in 2022, beating the 90-yard mark in five of those.
Prop: AJ Brown over 72.5 receiving yards - 10/11
In addition, it’s worth noting that eight of his 11 touchdowns came on home soil. He drew a blank in week one and given the Vikings are so susceptible, he looks a good bet this week.
Prop: AJ Brown to score a touchdown - 1/1